Germany: Poll by GMS from 06.05.2024

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Union
31.0
-1.0
AfD
18.0
±0.0
SPD
15.0
-1.0
Grüne
14.0
+1.0
BSW
6.0
+1.0
FDP
4.0
±0.0
FW
3.0
±0.0
Linke
2.0
±0.0
Others
7.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
+2.5
AfD
-2.8
SPD
-1.4
Grüne
+2.4
BSW
+1.1
FDP
-0.3
FW
+1.5
Linke
-6.8
GMS – 1005 respondents – 30.04.2024-06.05.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from GMS shows the following results: CDU/CSU 31%, AfD 18%, SPD 15%, Grüne 14%, BSW 6%, FDP 4%, Freie Wähler 3% and Die Linke 2%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.5 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 34.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by GMS. For this purpose, 1005 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (30.04.2024 - 06.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD
113
17.9%
Grüne
105
16.7%
BSW
44
7%
Union
233
37%
AfD
135
21.4%
CDU/CSU + AfD
58.4%
CDU/CSU + SPD
54.9%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
53.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by GMS. The survey took place between 30.04.2024 and 06.05.2024 among 1005 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 31%, AfD 18%, SPD 15%, Grüne 14%, BSW 6%, FDP 4%, Freie Wähler 3% and Die Linke 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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