Upcoming elections:

Germany: Poll by Forsa from 27.05.2024

Polling data

CDU/CSU
30.0
-2.0
SPD
16.0
±0.0
AfD
15.0
±0.0
Grüne
13.0
-1.0
BSW
6.0
+1.0
FDP
6.0
+1.0
Sonst.
14.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
Forsa – 2503 respondents – 21.05.2024-27.05.2024
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates AfD lower
In 36% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates BSW lower
In 50% of election polls Forsa rates BSW lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Forsa shows the following results: CDU/CSU 30%, SPD 16%, AfD 15%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 13%, BSW 6% and FDP 6%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.9 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 40.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 2503 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (21.05.2024 - 27.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
SPD
117
Grüne
95
BSW
44
FDP
44
CDU/CSU
220
AfD
110
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
359
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + BSW
359
CDU/CSU + SPD
337
CDU/CSU + AfD
330
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
315

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 21.05.2024 and 27.05.2024 among 2503 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 30%, SPD 16%, AfD 15%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 13%, BSW 6% and FDP 6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.