Germany: Poll by Infratest dimap from 19.05.2024

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Union
31.0
±0.0
AfD
18.0
±0.0
SPD
15.0
±0.0
Grüne
14.0
-1.0
BSW
5.0
±0.0
FDP
4.0
-1.0
Linke
3.0
+3.0
FW
3.0
+3.0
Others
7.0
-4.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
+2.5
AfD
-2.8
SPD
-1.4
Grüne
+2.4
BSW
+0.1
FDP
-0.3
Linke
-5.8
FW
+1.5
Infratest dimap – 1479 respondents – 27.05.2024-19.05.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Infratest dimap shows the following results: CDU/CSU 31%, AfD 18%, SPD 15%, Grüne 14%, BSW 5%, FDP 4%, Die Linke 3% and Freie Wähler 3%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.5 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Friedrich Merz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU/CSU and SPD. With 55.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1479 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (27.05.2024 - 19.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD
114
18.1%
Grüne
106
16.8%
BSW
37
5.9%
Union
236
37.5%
AfD
137
21.7%
CDU/CSU + AfD
59.2%
CDU/CSU + SPD
55.6%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
54.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 27.05.2024 and 19.05.2024 among 1479 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 31%, AfD 18%, SPD 15%, Grüne 14%, BSW 5%, FDP 4%, Die Linke 3% and Freie Wähler 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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