Upcoming elections:

Germany: Poll by INSA from 07.06.2024

Polling data

CDU/CSU
30.0
-0.5
AfD
16.0
+0.5
SPD
16.0
±0.0
Grüne
12.0
±0.0
BSW
8.0
+0.5
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Linke
3.0
-0.5
FW
3.0
+0.5
Sonst.
7.0
-0.5
INSA – 1203 respondents – 03.06.2024-07.06.2024
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 35% of election polls INSA rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from INSA shows the following results: CDU/CSU 30%, AfD 16%, SPD 16%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 12%, BSW 8%, FDP 5%, Die Linke 3% and Freie Wähler 3%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.9 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 37.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1203 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (03.06.2024 - 07.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
SPD
116
Grüne
87
BSW
58
FDP
36
CDU/CSU
217
AfD
116
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + BSW
362
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
340
CDU/CSU + SPD
333
CDU/CSU + AfD
333
CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP
311
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
304

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 03.06.2024 and 07.06.2024 among 1203 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 30%, AfD 16%, SPD 16%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 12%, BSW 8%, FDP 5%, Die Linke 3% and Freie Wähler 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.