Germany
Election trend
Parties
Upcoming elections:
Brandenburg
Germany

Germany: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 23.06.2024

Polling data

AfD
29.0
+2.0
BSW
17.0
+7.5
CDU
16.5
+1.5
SPD
16.0
-5.0
BVB/FW
5.5
±0.0
Grüne
5.0
-2.0
Linke
3.5
-2.0
FDP
1.5
-0.5
Sonst.
6.0
-1.5
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
AfD
+18.7
BSW
New
CDU
New
SPD
-9.7
BVB/FW
New
Grüne
-9.8
Linke
-1.4
FDP
-10.0
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1000 respondents – 15.06.2024-23.06.2024

Next election: 28.09.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 376.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 38% of election polls, Institut Wahlkreisprognose rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: AfD 29%, BSW 17%, CDU 16.5%, SPD 16%, BVB/FW 5.5%, Grüne 5%, Die Linke 3.5% and FDP 1.5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +18.7 growth since the last election. FDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne, FDP and SPD. With 23.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (15.06.2024 - 23.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

88
SPD
16
Grüne
5
BSW
17
CDU
16
BVB/FW
5
AfD
29
Majority requires 45 seats
BSW + CDU + SPD
49
AfD + BSW
46
AfD + CDU
45

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Brandenburg was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 15.06.2024 and 23.06.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 29%, BSW 17%, CDU 16.5%, SPD 16%, BVB/FW 5.5%, Grüne 5%, Die Linke 3.5% and FDP 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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