Upcoming elections:

Germany: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 27.06.2024

Polling data

CDU/CSU
31.0
+1.0
AfD
17.0
+1.0
SPD
14.0
±0.0
Grüne
13.0
-1.0
BSW
7.0
±0.0
FDP
4.0
-1.0
Linke
3.0
+3.0
Sonst.
11.0
-3.0
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1186 respondents – 25.06.0204-27.06.2024
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates BSW lower
In 30% of election polls Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates BSW lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen higher
In 40% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: CDU/CSU 31%, AfD 17%, SPD 14%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 13%, BSW 7%, FDP 4% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.9 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 33.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1186 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 664744 days (25.06.0204 - 27.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
SPD
108
Grüne
100
BSW
53
CDU/CSU
239
AfD
130
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + AfD
369
CDU/CSU + SPD
347
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
339

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 25.06.0204 and 27.06.2024 among 1186 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 31%, AfD 17%, SPD 14%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 13%, BSW 7%, FDP 4% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.