Upcoming elections:

Germany: Poll by YouGov from 03.07.2024

Polling data

CDU/CSU
30.0
+1.0
AfD
19.0
+1.0
SPD
14.0
±0.0
Grüne
12.0
±0.0
BSW
9.0
±0.0
FDP
6.0
+2.0
Linke
3.0
-1.0
FW
2.0
±0.0
Sonst.
5.0
-3.0
YouGov – 2030 respondents – 28.06.2024-03.07.2024
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2025.
Institute often rates AfD higher
In 41% of election polls, YouGov rates AfD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Die Linke higher
In 35% of election polls, YouGov rates Die Linke higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Freie Wähler lower
In 60% of election polls YouGov rates Freie Wähler lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from YouGov shows the following results: CDU/CSU 30%, AfD 19%, SPD 14%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 12%, BSW 9%, FDP 6%, Die Linke 3% and Freie Wähler 2%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, FDP and SPD. With 35.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by YouGov. For this purpose, 2030 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (28.06.2024 - 03.07.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
SPD
98
Grüne
84
BSW
63
FDP
42
CDU/CSU
210
AfD
133
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
392
CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW
371
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + BSW
357
CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP
350
CDU/CSU + AfD
343
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
336
CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP
315
CDU/CSU + SPD
308
CDU/CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
294

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by YouGov. The survey took place between 28.06.2024 and 03.07.2024 among 2030 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 30%, AfD 19%, SPD 14%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 12%, BSW 9%, FDP 6%, Die Linke 3% and Freie Wähler 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.