Germany
Election trend
Parties
Upcoming elections:
Brandenburg
Germany

Germany: Poll by GMS from 12.08.2024

Polling data

CDU/CSU
32.0
+1.0
AfD
17.0
-1.0
SPD
14.0
±0.0
Grüne
12.0
-2.0
BSW
8.0
+2.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Linke
3.0
±0.0
FW
2.0
±0.0
Sonst.
7.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+7.9
AfD
+6.7
SPD
-11.7
Grüne
-2.8
BSW
New
FDP
-6.5
Linke
-1.9
FW
-0.4
GMS – 1006 respondents – 06.08.2024-12.08.2024

Next election: 28.09.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 386.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from GMS shows the following results: CDU/CSU 32%, AfD 17%, SPD 14%, Grüne 12%, BSW 8%, FDP 5%, Die Linke 3% and Freie Wähler 2%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.9 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne, FDP and SPD. With 35.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by GMS. For this purpose, 1006 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (06.08.2024 - 12.08.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
SPD
100
Grüne
85
BSW
57
FDP
36
CDU/CSU
230
AfD
122
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW
372
CDU/CSU + AfD
352
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
351
CDU/CSU + SPD
330
CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP
323
CDU/CSU + Grüne
315

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by GMS. The survey took place between 06.08.2024 and 12.08.2024 among 1006 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 32%, AfD 17%, SPD 14%, Grüne 12%, BSW 8%, FDP 5%, Die Linke 3% and Freie Wähler 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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