Thuringia: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 11.08.2024

Thuringia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
AfD
27.5
-9.0
CDU
23.0
+7.0
BSW
19.0
+19.0
Linke
15.5
-11.5
SPD
4.5
-2.5
FDP
2.5
-1.5
Grüne
2.5
-0.5
Others
5.5
-1.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
AfD
-5.3
CDU
-0.6
BSW
+3.2
Linke
+2.4
SPD
-1.6
FDP
+1.4
Grüne
-0.7
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1000 respondents – 04.08.2024-11.08.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Thuringia is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Thuringia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Thuringia from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: AfD 27.5%, CDU 23%, BSW 19%, Die Linke 15.5%, SPD 4.5%, FDP 2.5% and Grüne 2.5%. If an election were held in Thuringia this Sunday, BSW might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.2 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Prof. Dr. Mario Voigt is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU, SPD and BSW. With 50.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (04.08.2024 - 11.08.2024).

Coalition possibilities

88
Majority requires 45 seats
Linke
16
18.2%
BSW
20
22.7%
CDU
24
27.3%
AfD
28
31.8%
CDU + BSW + Die Linke
68.2%
AfD + CDU
59.1%
AfD + BSW
54.5%
AfD + Die Linke
50.0%
CDU + BSW
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 04.08.2024 and 11.08.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 27.5%, CDU 23%, BSW 19%, Die Linke 15.5%, SPD 4.5%, FDP 2.5% and Grüne 2.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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