Germany
Election trend
Parties
Upcoming elections:
Brandenburg
Germany

Germany: Poll by Forsa from 12.08.2024

Polling data

CDU/CSU
30.0
±0.0
AfD
17.0
±0.0
SPD
15.0
±0.0
Grüne
11.0
±0.0
BSW
7.0
±0.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Linke
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
12.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU/CSU
+5.9
AfD
+6.7
SPD
-10.7
Grüne
-3.8
BSW
New
FDP
-6.5
Linke
-1.9
Forsa – 2502 respondents – 06.08.2024-12.08.2024

Next election: 28.09.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 385.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 37% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates BSW lower

In 39% of election polls Forsa rates BSW lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Forsa shows the following results: CDU/CSU 30%, AfD 17%, SPD 15%, Grüne 11%, BSW 7%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne, FDP and SPD. With 36.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 2502 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (06.08.2024 - 12.08.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
SPD
111
Grüne
81
BSW
52
FDP
37
CDU/CSU
223
AfD
126
Majority requires 316 seats
CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW
356
CDU/CSU + AfD
349
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
341
CDU/CSU + SPD
334
CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP
312
CDU/CSU + Grüne
304

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 06.08.2024 and 12.08.2024 among 2502 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 30%, AfD 17%, SPD 15%, Grüne 11%, BSW 7%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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