Germany: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 19.09.2024

Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
AfD
28.0
-1.0
SPD
27.0
+1.0
CDU
14.0
-1.0
BSW
13.0
-1.0
Grüne
4.5
-0.5
Linke
4.0
+1.0
BVB/FW
3.5
+0.5
Others
6.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
AfD
+17.7
SPD
+1.3
CDU
New
BSW
New
Grüne
-10.3
Linke
-0.9
BVB/FW
New
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1118 respondents – 18.09.2024-19.09.2024

Next election: 23.02.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 12.

Institute often rates Grüne higher

In 38% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Grüne higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: AfD 28%, SPD 27%, CDU 14%, BSW 13%, Grüne 4.5%, Die Linke 4% and BVB/FW 3.5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +17.7 growth since the last election. Grüne, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 33.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1118 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (18.09.2024 - 19.09.2024).

Coalition possibilities

88
Majority requires 45 seats
SPD
29
33%
BSW
14
15.9%
CDU
15
17%
AfD
30
34.1%
SPD + CDU + BSW
65.9%
AfD + CDU
51.1%
SPD + CDU
50.0%
AfD + BSW
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Brandenburg was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 18.09.2024 and 19.09.2024 among 1118 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 28%, SPD 27%, CDU 14%, BSW 13%, Grüne 4.5%, Die Linke 4% and BVB/FW 3.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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