Germany: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 26.09.2024

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Union
31.0
-2.0
AfD
17.0
±0.0
SPD
16.0
+1.0
Grüne
12.0
+1.0
BSW
8.0
+1.0
Linke
4.0
±0.0
FDP
4.0
±0.0
Others
8.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
+2.5
AfD
-3.8
SPD
-0.4
Grüne
+0.4
BSW
+3.1
Linke
-4.8
FDP
-0.3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1348 respondents – 24.09.2024-26.09.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Grüne higher

In 36% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Grüne higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: CDU/CSU 31%, AfD 17%, SPD 16%, Grüne 12%, BSW 8%, Die Linke 4% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, BSW might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.1 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Friedrich Merz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU/CSU and SPD. With 56.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1348 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (24.09.2024 - 26.09.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD
120
19%
Grüne
90
14.3%
BSW
60
9.5%
Union
233
37%
AfD
127
20.2%
CDU/CSU + AfD
57.1%
CDU/CSU + SPD
56.0%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
51.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 24.09.2024 and 26.09.2024 among 1348 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 31%, AfD 17%, SPD 16%, Grüne 12%, BSW 8%, Die Linke 4% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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