Germany: Poll by Forsa from 30.09.2024

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Union
31.0
-1.0
AfD
17.0
±0.0
SPD
17.0
+2.0
Grüne
10.0
-1.0
BSW
6.0
-1.0
FDP
4.0
±0.0
Linke
3.0
+3.0
Others
12.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
+2.5
AfD
-3.8
SPD
+0.6
Grüne
-1.6
BSW
+1.1
FDP
-0.3
Linke
-5.8
Forsa – 2501 respondents – 24.09.2024-30.09.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 35% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates BSW lower

In 45% of election polls Forsa rates BSW lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Forsa shows the following results: CDU/CSU 31%, AfD 17%, SPD 17%, Grüne 10%, BSW 6%, FDP 4% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.5 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 33.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 2501 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (24.09.2024 - 30.09.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD
132
21%
Grüne
77
12.2%
BSW
46
7.3%
Union
242
38.4%
AfD
133
21.1%
CDU/CSU + AfD
59.5%
CDU/CSU + SPD
59.4%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
50.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 24.09.2024 and 30.09.2024 among 2501 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 31%, AfD 17%, SPD 17%, Grüne 10%, BSW 6%, FDP 4% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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