Germany: Poll by Infratest dimap from 30.10.2024

Polling data

Union
34.0
+3.0
AfD
17.0
±0.0
SPD
16.0
±0.0
Grüne
11.0
-2.0
BSW
6.0
-2.0
FDP
4.0
+1.0
Others
12.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
Union
+9.9
AfD
+6.7
SPD
-9.7
Grüne
-3.8
BSW
New
FDP
-7.5
Infratest dimap – 1333 respondents – 28.10.2024-30.10.2024

Next election: 23.02.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 82.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Germany from Infratest dimap shows the following results: CDU/CSU 34%, AfD 17%, SPD 16%, Grüne 11%, BSW 6% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.9 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 32.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1333 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (28.10.2024 - 30.10.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD
120
19%
Grüne
83
13.1%
BSW
44
7.1%
Union
256
40.5%
AfD
127
20.2%
CDU/CSU + AfD
60.7%
CDU/CSU + SPD
59.5%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
53.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 28.10.2024 and 30.10.2024 among 1333 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 34%, AfD 17%, SPD 16%, Grüne 11%, BSW 6% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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