Germany: Poll by Infratest dimap from 20.11.2024

Polling data

Union
33.0
-1.0
AfD
19.0
+1.0
Grüne
14.0
+2.0
SPD
14.0
-2.0
BSW
6.0
±0.0
FDP
4.0
-1.0
Linke
3.0
+3.0
Others
7.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
Union
+8.9
AfD
+8.7
Grüne
-0.8
SPD
-11.7
BSW
New
FDP
-7.5
Linke
-1.9
Infratest dimap – 1318 respondents – 18.11.2024-20.11.2024

Next election: 23.02.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 71.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Infratest dimap shows the following results: CDU/CSU 33%, AfD 19%, Grüne 14%, SPD 14%, BSW 6%, FDP 4% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.9 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 32.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1318 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (18.11.2024 - 20.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD
102
16.2%
Grüne
103
16.3%
BSW
44
7%
Union
242
38.4%
AfD
139
22.1%
CDU/CSU + AfD
60.5%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
54.8%
CDU/CSU + SPD
54.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 18.11.2024 and 20.11.2024 among 1318 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 33%, AfD 19%, Grüne 14%, SPD 14%, BSW 6%, FDP 4% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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