Germany: Poll by Forsa from 25.11.2024

Polling data

Union
32.0
-1.0
AfD
18.0
±0.0
SPD
15.0
±0.0
Grüne
12.0
+1.0
BSW
4.0
±0.0
Linke
4.0
±0.0
FDP
4.0
±0.0
Others
11.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
Union
+7.9
AfD
+7.7
SPD
-10.7
Grüne
-2.8
BSW
New
Linke
-0.9
FDP
-7.5
Forsa – 2500 respondents – 19.11.2024-25.11.2024

Next election: 23.02.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 71.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 36% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates BSW lower

In 46% of election polls Forsa rates BSW lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Forsa shows the following results: CDU/CSU 32%, AfD 18%, SPD 15%, Grüne 12%, BSW 4%, Die Linke 4% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.9 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 35.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 2500 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (19.11.2024 - 25.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD
123
19.5%
Grüne
98
15.6%
Union
262
41.6%
AfD
147
23.3%
CDU/CSU + AfD
64.9%
CDU/CSU + SPD
61.1%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
57.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 19.11.2024 and 25.11.2024 among 2500 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 32%, AfD 18%, SPD 15%, Grüne 12%, BSW 4%, Die Linke 4% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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