Germany: Poll by INSA from 25.11.2024

Polling data

AfD
27.0
+2.0
SPD
21.0
+1.0
CDU
19.0
-2.0
BSW
16.0
-1.0
Linke
5.0
+1.0
Grüne
5.0
±0.0
FDP
2.0
±0.0
Others
5.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
AfD
+16.7
SPD
-4.7
CDU
New
BSW
New
Linke
+0.1
Grüne
-9.8
FDP
-9.5
INSA – 1000 respondents – 18.11.2024-25.11.2024

Next election: 23.02.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 30.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 44% of election polls, INSA rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 35% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from INSA shows the following results: AfD 27%, SPD 21%, CDU 19%, BSW 16%, Die Linke 5%, Grüne 5% and FDP 2%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +16.7 growth since the last election. Grüne, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 26.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (18.11.2024 - 25.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

71
Majority requires 36 seats
Linke
4
5.6%
SPD
16
22.5%
Grüne
3
4.2%
BSW
12
16.9%
CDU
15
21.1%
AfD
21
29.6%
SPD + CDU + BSW
60.6%
SPD + CDU + Die Linke + Grüne
53.5%
AfD + BSW + Die Linke
52.1%
AfD + CDU
50.7%
SPD + BSW + Die Linke + Grüne
49.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 18.11.2024 and 25.11.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 27%, SPD 21%, CDU 19%, BSW 16%, Die Linke 5%, Grüne 5% and FDP 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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