Germany: Poll by Infratest dimap from 10.12.2024

Polling data

CDU
32.0
+1.0
SPD
24.0
+3.0
AfD
14.0
+2.0
Grüne
11.0
+1.0
BSW
4.0
-1.0
FDP
4.0
-1.0
FW
4.0
-3.0
Others
7.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
CDU
New
SPD
-1.7
AfD
+3.7
Grüne
-3.8
BSW
New
FDP
-7.5
FW
+1.6
Infratest dimap – 1175 respondents – 05.12.2024-10.12.2024

Next election: 23.02.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 30.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Infratest dimap shows the following results: CDU 32%, SPD 24%, AfD 14%, Grüne 11%, BSW 4%, FDP 4% and Freie Wähler 4%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.7 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 43.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1175 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (05.12.2024 - 10.12.2024).

Coalition possibilities

101
Majority requires 51 seats
SPD
30
29.7%
Grüne
14
13.9%
CDU
40
39.6%
AfD
17
16.8%
CDU + SPD
69.3%
CDU + AfD
56.4%
CDU + Grüne
53.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Rhineland-Palatinate was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 05.12.2024 and 10.12.2024 among 1175 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 32%, SPD 24%, AfD 14%, Grüne 11%, BSW 4%, FDP 4% and Freie Wähler 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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