Germany: Poll by INSA from 09.12.2024

Polling data

AfD
34.0
±0.0
CDU
25.0
±0.0
BSW
14.0
±0.0
Linke
12.0
-1.0
SPD
7.0
+1.0
Grüne
4.0
+4.0
Others
4.0
-4.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
AfD
+23.7
CDU
New
BSW
New
Linke
+7.1
SPD
-18.7
Grüne
-10.8
INSA – 1000 respondents – 02.12.2024-09.12.2024

Next election: 23.02.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 30.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from INSA shows the following results: AfD 34%, CDU 25%, BSW 14%, Die Linke 12%, SPD 7% and Grüne 4%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +23.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-18.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 8.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (02.12.2024 - 09.12.2024).

Coalition possibilities

88
Majority requires 45 seats
Linke
11
12.5%
SPD
7
8%
BSW
13
14.8%
CDU
24
27.3%
AfD
33
37.5%
AfD + CDU
64.8%
CDU + BSW + Die Linke
54.5%
AfD + BSW
52.3%
AfD + Die Linke
50.0%
CDU + BSW + SPD
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Thuringia was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 02.12.2024 and 09.12.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 34%, CDU 25%, BSW 14%, Die Linke 12%, SPD 7% and Grüne 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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