Germany: Poll by Forsa from 11.12.2024

Polling data

CDU
38.0
+5.0
AfD
16.0
+6.0
SPD
15.0
-8.0
Grüne
14.0
±0.0
BSW
3.0
+3.0
Linke
3.0
-4.0
FDP
3.0
-5.0
Others
8.0
+3.0
Forsa – 1003 respondents – 22.11.2024-11.12.2024

Next election: 23.02.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 12.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 35% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates BSW lower

In 47% of election polls Forsa rates BSW lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Forsa shows the following results: CDU 38%, AfD 16%, SPD 15%, Grüne 14%, BSW 3%, Die Linke 3% and FDP 3%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.7 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 35.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 1003 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 19 days (22.11.2024 - 11.12.2024).

Coalition possibilities

110
Majority requires 56 seats
SPD
20
18.2%
Grüne
19
17.3%
CDU
50
45.5%
AfD
21
19.1%
CDU + AfD
64.5%
CDU + SPD
63.6%
CDU + Grüne
62.7%
CDU
45.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hesse was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 22.11.2024 and 11.12.2024 among 1003 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 38%, AfD 16%, SPD 15%, Grüne 14%, BSW 3%, Die Linke 3% and FDP 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.