Germany: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 09.01.2025

Polling data

Union
30.0
-1.0
AfD
21.0
+2.0
Grüne
15.0
+1.0
SPD
14.0
-1.0
BSW
4.0
-1.0
Linke
4.0
±0.0
FDP
4.0
+1.0
Others
8.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
Union
+5.9
AfD
+10.7
Grüne
+0.2
SPD
-11.7
BSW
New
Linke
-0.9
FDP
-7.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1433 respondents – 07.01.2025-09.01.2025

Next election: 23.02.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 36.

Institute often rates Grüne higher

In 38% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Grüne higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: CDU/CSU 30%, AfD 21%, Grüne 15%, SPD 14%, BSW 4%, Die Linke 4% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +10.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 36.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1433 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (07.01.2025 - 09.01.2025).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD
110
17.5%
Grüne
118
18.7%
Union
236
37.5%
AfD
166
26.3%
CDU/CSU + AfD
63.8%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
56.2%
CDU/CSU + SPD
54.9%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 07.01.2025 and 09.01.2025 among 1433 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 30%, AfD 21%, Grüne 15%, SPD 14%, BSW 4%, Die Linke 4% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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