Germany: Poll by YouGov from 14.01.2025

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Union
30.0
+1.0
AfD
21.0
±0.0
SPD
18.0
+2.0
Grüne
14.0
±0.0
BSW
6.0
±0.0
Linke
4.0
+1.0
FDP
4.0
-1.0
Others
3.0
-3.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
+1.5
AfD
+0.2
SPD
+1.6
Grüne
+2.4
BSW
+1.1
Linke
-4.8
FDP
-0.3
YouGov – 2078 respondents – 10.01.2025-14.01.2025

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates AfD higher

In 41% of election polls, YouGov rates AfD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 38% of election polls, YouGov rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Die Linke higher

In 30% of election polls, YouGov rates Die Linke higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from YouGov shows the following results: CDU/CSU 30%, AfD 21%, SPD 18%, Grüne 14%, BSW 6%, Die Linke 4% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.4 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Friedrich Merz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU/CSU and SPD. With 54.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by YouGov. For this purpose, 2078 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (10.01.2025 - 14.01.2025).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD
127
20.2%
Grüne
99
15.7%
BSW
42
6.7%
Union
213
33.8%
AfD
149
23.7%
CDU/CSU + AfD
57.5%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW
56.2%
CDU/CSU + SPD
54.0%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
49.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by YouGov. The survey took place between 10.01.2025 and 14.01.2025 among 2078 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 30%, AfD 21%, SPD 18%, Grüne 14%, BSW 6%, Die Linke 4% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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