Germany: Poll by INSA from 20.01.2025

Polling data

CDU
39.0
-1.0
SPD
16.0
+1.0
AfD
14.0
+2.0
Grüne
13.0
-3.0
SSW
6.0
±0.0
FDP
4.0
-2.0
BSW
3.0
+3.0
FW
2.0
+2.0
Others
3.0
-2.0
INSA – 1000 respondents – 13.01.2025-20.01.2025

Next election: 23.02.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 12.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 44% of election polls, INSA rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 35% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from INSA shows the following results: CDU 39%, SPD 16%, AfD 14%, Grüne 13%, Südschleswigscher Wählerverband 6%, FDP 4%, BSW 3% and Freie Wähler 2%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Südschleswigscher Wählerverband might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.9 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 33.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (13.01.2025 - 20.01.2025).

Coalition possibilities

69
Majority requires 35 seats
SPD
13
18.8%
Grüne
10
14.5%
SSW
4
5.8%
CDU
31
44.9%
AfD
11
15.9%
CDU + SPD
63.8%
CDU + AfD
60.9%
CDU + Grüne
59.4%
CDU + Südschleswigscher Wählerverband
50.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Schleswig-Holstein was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 13.01.2025 and 20.01.2025 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 39%, SPD 16%, AfD 14%, Grüne 13%, Südschleswigscher Wählerverband 6%, FDP 4%, BSW 3% and Freie Wähler 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.