Germany: Poll by Forsa from 03.02.2025

Polling data

Union
28.0
-2.0
AfD
20.0
±0.0
SPD
16.0
±0.0
Grüne
15.0
+1.0
Linke
5.0
+1.0
BSW
4.0
+1.0
FDP
4.0
±0.0
Others
8.0
-1.0
Forsa – 2503 respondents – 28.01.2025-03.02.2025

Next election: 23.02.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 12.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 35% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates BSW lower

In 47% of election polls Forsa rates BSW lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Forsa shows the following results: CDU/CSU 28%, AfD 20%, SPD 16%, Grüne 15%, Die Linke 5%, BSW 4% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 36.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 2503 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (28.01.2025 - 03.02.2025).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
37
5.9%
SPD
120
19%
Grüne
113
17.9%
Union
210
33.3%
AfD
150
23.8%
CDU/CSU + AfD
57.1%
CDU/CSU + SPD
52.4%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
51.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 28.01.2025 and 03.02.2025 among 2503 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 28%, AfD 20%, SPD 16%, Grüne 15%, Die Linke 5%, BSW 4% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.