Germany: Poll by GMS from 19.02.2025

Germany: Polling data

Union
31.0
+1.0
AfD
20.0
-1.0
SPD
15.0
±0.0
Grüne
13.0
-1.0
Linke
6.0
+1.0
BSW
4.0
±0.0
FDP
4.0
±0.0
FW
2.0
±0.0
Others
5.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
+2.5
AfD
-0.8
SPD
-1.4
Grüne
+1.4
Linke
-2.8
BSW
-0.9
FDP
-0.3
FW
+0.5
GMS – 1016 respondents – 16.02.2025-19.02.2025

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from GMS shows the following results: CDU/CSU 31%, AfD 20%, SPD 15%, Grüne 13%, Die Linke 6%, BSW 4%, FDP 4% and Freie Wähler 2%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.5 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 32.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by GMS. For this purpose, 1016 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (16.02.2025 - 19.02.2025).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
44
7%
SPD
111
17.6%
Grüne
96
15.2%
Union
231
36.7%
AfD
148
23.5%
CDU/CSU + AfD
60.2%
CDU/CSU + SPD
54.3%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
51.9%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by GMS. The survey took place between 16.02.2025 and 19.02.2025 among 1016 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 31%, AfD 20%, SPD 15%, Grüne 13%, Die Linke 6%, BSW 4%, FDP 4% and Freie Wähler 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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