Germany: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 18.02.2025

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Union
30.0
-2.0
AfD
20.0
±0.0
SPD
14.5
+2.0
Grüne
12.0
-0.5
Linke
7.0
+1.0
BSW
5.0
+0.5
FDP
4.0
±0.0
FW
2.0
+0.5
Others
5.5
-1.5
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
+1.5
AfD
-0.8
SPD
-1.9
Grüne
+0.4
Linke
-1.8
BSW
+0.1
FDP
-0.3
FW
+0.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1000 respondents – 17.02.2025-18.02.2025

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU/CSU 30%, AfD 20%, SPD 14.5%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 7%, BSW 5%, FDP 4% and Freie Wähler 2%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.5 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Friedrich Merz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU/CSU and SPD. With 50.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (17.02.2025 - 18.02.2025).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
49
7.8%
SPD
103
16.3%
Grüne
86
13.7%
BSW
35
5.6%
Union
214
34%
AfD
143
22.7%
CDU/CSU + AfD
56.7%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW
53.2%
CDU/CSU + SPD
50.3%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
47.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 17.02.2025 and 18.02.2025 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 30%, AfD 20%, SPD 14.5%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 7%, BSW 5%, FDP 4% and Freie Wähler 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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