Germany: Poll by Forsa from 20.02.2025

Germany: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Union
29.0
-1.0
AfD
21.0
+1.0
SPD
15.0
-1.0
Grüne
13.0
±0.0
Linke
8.0
+1.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
BSW
3.0
-1.0
Others
6.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
+0.5
AfD
+0.2
SPD
-1.4
Grüne
+1.4
Linke
-0.8
FDP
+0.7
BSW
-1.9
Forsa – 2002 respondents – 17.02.2025-20.02.2025

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 34% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates BSW lower

In 38% of election polls Forsa rates BSW lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Forsa shows the following results: CDU/CSU 29%, AfD 21%, SPD 15%, Grüne 13%, Die Linke 8%, FDP 5% and BSW 3%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.4 growth since the last election. BSW, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Friedrich Merz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU/CSU and SPD. With 48.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 2002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (17.02.2025 - 20.02.2025).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
55
8.7%
SPD
104
16.5%
Grüne
90
14.3%
FDP
34
5.4%
Union
201
31.9%
AfD
146
23.2%
CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne
62.7%
CDU/CSU + AfD
55.1%
CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP
53.8%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP
51.6%
CDU/CSU + SPD
48.4%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
46.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 17.02.2025 and 20.02.2025 among 2002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 29%, AfD 21%, SPD 15%, Grüne 13%, Die Linke 8%, FDP 5% and BSW 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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