Germany: Poll by Allensbach from 20.02.2025

Germany: Polling data

Union
32.0
±0.0
AfD
20.0
±0.0
SPD
14.5
-0.5
Grüne
12.0
-1.0
Linke
7.5
+1.5
BSW
4.5
+0.5
FDP
4.5
-0.5
Others
5.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
+3.5
AfD
-0.8
SPD
-1.9
Grüne
+0.4
Linke
-1.3
BSW
-0.4
FDP
+0.2
Allensbach – 1064 respondents – 09.02.2025-20.02.2025

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 32% of election polls Allensbach rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates CDU/CSU higher

In 63% of election polls, Allensbach rates CDU/CSU higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SPD higher

In 42% of election polls, Allensbach rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Allensbach shows the following results: CDU/CSU 32%, AfD 20%, SPD 14.5%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 7.5%, BSW 4.5% and FDP 4.5%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.5 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 30.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Allensbach. For this purpose, 1064 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 11 days (09.02.2025 - 20.02.2025).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
54
8.6%
SPD
106
16.8%
Grüne
88
14%
Union
235
37.3%
AfD
147
23.3%
CDU/CSU + AfD
60.6%
CDU/CSU + SPD
54.1%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
51.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Allensbach. The survey took place between 09.02.2025 and 20.02.2025 among 1064 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 32%, AfD 20%, SPD 14.5%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 7.5%, BSW 4.5% and FDP 4.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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