Germany: Election polls by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 21.02.2025

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU/CSU 29.5%, AfD 20.5%, SPD 14.5%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 8%, BSW 4.5%, FDP 4.5% and Freie Wähler 2%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, CDU/CSU might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.0 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 31.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1536 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (20.02.2025 - 21.02.2025).

Coalition possibilities

630

Majority requires 316 seats

Linke

9.5%

SPD

108

17.1%

Grüne

14.1%

Union

220

34.9%

AfD

153

24.3%

CDU/CSU + AfD

59.2%

CDU/CSU + SPD

52.1%

CDU/CSU + Grüne

49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 20.02.2025 and 21.02.2025 among 1536 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 29.5%, AfD 20.5%, SPD 14.5%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 8%, BSW 4.5%, FDP 4.5% and Freie Wähler 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

Germany: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 21.02.2025

Germany: Polling data

Next election: 2029

Election poll results

Coalition possibilities

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

How reliable are election polls?

What should you look out for in election polls?