Germany: Poll by Ipsos from 01.03.2025

Germany: Polling data

Union
29.0
-1.0
AfD
22.0
+1.0
SPD
15.0
-1.0
Grüne
12.0
±0.0
Linke
9.0
+2.0
BSW
5.0
+0.5
FDP
4.0
-0.5
Others
4.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
+0.5
AfD
+1.2
SPD
-1.4
Grüne
+0.4
Linke
+0.2
BSW
+0.1
FDP
-0.3
Ipsos – 1000 respondents – 28.02.2025-01.03.2025

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates SPD higher

In 32% of election polls, Ipsos rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from Ipsos shows the following results: CDU/CSU 29%, AfD 22%, SPD 15%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 9%, BSW 5% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.2 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Scholz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 29.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (28.02.2025 - 01.03.2025).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
61
9.7%
SPD
103
16.3%
Grüne
82
13%
BSW
34
5.4%
Union
199
31.6%
AfD
151
24%
CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne
61.0%
CDU/CSU + AfD
55.6%
CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW
53.3%
CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW
50.0%
CDU/CSU + SPD
47.9%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 28.02.2025 and 01.03.2025 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 29%, AfD 22%, SPD 15%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 9%, BSW 5% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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