Germany: Poll by INSA from 09.05.2025

Germany: Polling data

Union
25.0
+0.5
AfD
24.0
-0.5
SPD
16.0
±0.0
Grüne
11.0
±0.0
Linke
10.0
±0.0
BSW
4.0
±0.0
FDP
4.0
±0.0
Others
6.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
-3.5
AfD
+3.2
SPD
-0.4
Grüne
-0.6
Linke
+1.2
BSW
-0.9
FDP
-0.3
INSA – 1203 respondents – 05.05.2025-09.05.2025

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 38% of election polls, INSA rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 34% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from INSA shows the following results: CDU/CSU 25%, AfD 24%, SPD 16%, Grüne 11%, Die Linke 10%, BSW 4% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.2 growth since the last election. CDU/CSU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Friedrich Merz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU/CSU and SPD. With 47.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1203 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (05.05.2025 - 09.05.2025).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
73
11.6%
SPD
117
18.6%
Grüne
80
12.7%
Union
184
29.2%
AfD
176
27.9%
CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne
60.5%
CDU/CSU + AfD
57.1%
CDU/CSU + SPD
47.8%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 05.05.2025 and 09.05.2025 among 1203 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 25%, AfD 24%, SPD 16%, Grüne 11%, Die Linke 10%, BSW 4% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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