Germany: Poll by YouGov from 12.05.2025

Germany: Polling data

Union
27.0
+1.0
AfD
25.0
-1.0
SPD
15.0
+1.0
Grüne
12.0
±0.0
Linke
9.0
-1.0
BSW
4.0
-1.0
FDP
3.0
-1.0
Others
5.0
+2.0
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
Union
-1.5
AfD
+4.2
SPD
-1.4
Grüne
+0.4
Linke
+0.2
BSW
-0.9
FDP
-1.3
YouGov – 2227 respondents – 09.05.2025-12.05.2025

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates AfD higher

In 41% of election polls, YouGov rates AfD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 36% of election polls, YouGov rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Die Linke higher

In 30% of election polls, YouGov rates Die Linke higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Germany - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Germany from YouGov shows the following results: CDU/CSU 27%, AfD 25%, SPD 15%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 9%, BSW 4% and FDP 3%. If an election were held in Germany this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.2 growth since the last election. CDU/CSU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Friedrich Merz is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU/CSU and SPD. With 47.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by YouGov. For this purpose, 2227 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (09.05.2025 - 12.05.2025).

Coalition possibilities

630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
64
10.2%
SPD
107
17%
Grüne
86
13.7%
Union
194
30.8%
AfD
179
28.4%
CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne
61.4%
CDU/CSU + AfD
59.2%
CDU/CSU + SPD
47.8%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Germany was conducted by YouGov. The survey took place between 09.05.2025 and 12.05.2025 among 2227 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU/CSU 27%, AfD 25%, SPD 15%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 9%, BSW 4% and FDP 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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