North Rhine-Westphalia: Poll by YouGov from 12.09.2018

North Rhine-Westphalia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
CDU
31.0
-4.0
SPD
24.0
-6.0
AfD
13.0
+4.0
FDP
10.0
+1.0
Grüne
10.0
+4.0
Linke
7.0
-1.0
Others
5.0
+2.0
Development since the last election on 15.05.2022
CDU
-4.7
SPD
-2.7
AfD
+7.6
FDP
+4.1
Grüne
-8.2
Linke
+4.9
YouGov – 1049 respondents – 06.09.2018-12.09.2018

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates AfD higher

In 40% of election polls, YouGov rates AfD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Die Linke higher

In 30% of election polls, YouGov rates Die Linke higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

North Rhine-Westphalia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in North Rhine-Westphalia from YouGov shows the following results: CDU 31%, SPD 24%, AfD 13%, FDP 10%, Grüne 10% and Die Linke 7%. If an election were held in North Rhine-Westphalia this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.6 growth since the last election. Grüne, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Hendrik Wüst is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and CDU. With 43.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by YouGov. For this purpose, 1049 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (06.09.2018 - 12.09.2018).

Coalition possibilities

181
Majority requires 91 seats
Linke
13
7.2%
SPD
46
25.4%
Grüne
19
10.5%
FDP
19
10.5%
CDU
59
32.6%
AfD
25
13.8%
CDU + SPD
58.0%
CDU + AfD + FDP
56.9%
CDU + Grüne + FDP
53.6%
SPD + Grüne + FDP
46.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in North Rhine-Westphalia was conducted by YouGov. The survey took place between 06.09.2018 and 12.09.2018 among 1049 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 31%, SPD 24%, AfD 13%, FDP 10%, Grüne 10% and Die Linke 7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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