Election trends and current polls for Rhineland-Palatinate

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
SPD
25.9%
+1.6
CDU
35%
+5.5
AfD
9.5%
-2.3
FDP
5.6%
+0.3
Grüne
15.3%
-3.5
Linke
4.4%
-0.8
Sonstige
4.3%
-0.8
Changes to last election from 13.03.2016
SPD
-10.3
CDU
+3.2
AfD
-3.1
FDP
-0.6
Grüne
+10.0
Linke
+1.6
Political orientation
SPD
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CDU
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AfD
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FDP
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Grüne
nature
Linke
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The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Landtag von Rheinland-Pfalz
Infratest dimap - 23.04.2020
SPD
27%
+1
CDU
38%
+11
AfD
8%
-3
FDP
6%
-1
13%
-5
4%
-2
4%
-1
Landtag von Rheinland-Pfalz
INSA - 12.04.2020
SPD
24%
+2
CDU
30%
+2
AfD
12%
±0
FDP
5%
-3
19%
-1
5%
+1
5%
-1
Landtag von Rheinland-Pfalz
Infratest dimap - 05.03.2020
SPD
26%
±0
CDU
27%
-3
AfD
11%
-2
FDP
7%
±0
18%
+2
6%
+2
5%
+1
Landtag von Rheinland-Pfalz
Infratest dimap - 12.12.2019
SPD
26%
+3
CDU
30%
+2
AfD
13%
+2
FDP
7%
-1
16%
-5
4%
±0
4%
-1
Landtag von Rheinland-Pfalz
INSA - 18.09.2019
SPD
22%
-11
CDU
28%
-6
AfD
12%
+2
FDP
8%
+1
20%
+13
4%
-1
FW
3%
±0
3%
-1
Data source: dawum.de

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
CDU + SPD
66.7%
CDU + Grüne
55.1%
CDU + AfD + FDP
54.8%
Ampelkoalition
51.3%
CDU + AfD
48.7%
Rot-Grün
45.2%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 5%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
SPD
CDU
AfD
FDP
Grüne
Linke
FW

Last election

The results of the last election from 13.03.2016
Seats
Party Percent Seats
SPD 36.2% 0.5% 39 -3
CDU 31.8% -3.5% 35 -6
AfD 12.6% 12.6% 14 14
FDP 6.2% 1.9% 7 7
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 5.3% -10.1% 6 -12
Die Linke 2.8% -0.2% 0 0
Freie Wähler 2.3% 0% 0 0
Piratenpartei 0.8% -0.8% 0 0
ALFA 0.6% 0.6% 0 0
NPD 0.5% -0.6% 0 0
ÖDP 0.4% 0% 0 0
Die Einheit 0.2% 0.2% 0 0
Republikaner 0.2% -0.6% 0 0
In the last election of the 13.03.2016 101 representatives from 5 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election takes place on 14.03.2021.