Election trends and current polls for Thuringia

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
Linke
38%
-0.8
AfD
24.7%
+0.3
CDU
14.3%
+1.2
SPD
8.4%
-0.1
Grüne
6%
±0
FDP
4%
±0
Sonstige
4.6%
-0.6
Changes to last election from 27.10.2019
Linke
+7.0
AfD
+1.3
CDU
-7.5
SPD
+0.2
Grüne
+0.8
FDP
-1.0
Political orientation
Linke
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AfD
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CDU
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SPD
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Grüne
nature
FDP
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The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Thüringischer Landtag
INSA - 12.03.2020
38%
-2
AfD
25%
±0
CDU
15%
+1
SPD
8%
+1
6%
±0
FDP
4%
±0
4%
±0
Thüringischer Landtag
INSA - 14.02.2020
40%
+6
AfD
25%
+2
CDU
14%
-5
SPD
7%
+1
6%
±0
FDP
4%
-3
4%
-1
Thüringischer Landtag
Infratest dimap - 10.02.2020
39%
+7
AfD
24%
±0
CDU
13%
-6
SPD
10%
+2
5%
-1
FDP
4%
-2
5%
±0
Thüringischer Landtag
Forsa - 07.02.2020
CDU
12%
±0
37%
±0
SPD
9%
±0
AfD
24%
±0
7%
±0
FDP
4%
±0
7%
±0
Thüringischer Landtag
INSA - 06.02.2020
CDU
19%
-5
34%
+6
SPD
6%
-3
AfD
23%
-1
6%
-2
FDP
7%
+2
5%
+3
Data source: dawum.de

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
Rot-Rot-Grün
57.4%
Rote Koalition
50.8%
AfD + CDU + Grüne
49.2%
Linke + Grüne
48.2%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 5%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
Linke
AfD
CDU
SPD
Grüne
FDP
FW

Last election

The results of the last election from 27.10.2019
Seats
Party (min. 0.2%) Percent Seats
Die Linke 31.0% 2.8% 29 1
AfD 23.4% 12.8% 22 11
CDU 21.8% -11.7% 21 -13
SPD 8.2% -4.2% 8 -4
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 5.2% -0.4% 5 -1
FDP 5.0% 2.5% 5 5
TIERSCHUTZ hier! 1.1% 1.1% 0 0
Die PARTEI 1.1% 0.5% 0 0
Gesundheitsforschung 0.5% 0.5% 0 0
Graue Panther 0.5% 0.5% 0 0
NPD 0.5% -3.1% 0 0
ÖDP 0.4% 0.4% 0 0
Piratenpartei 0.4% -0.6% 0 0
Marxisten/Leninisten 0.3% 0.3% 0 0
Bündnis Grundeinkommen 0.2% 0.2% 0 0
Die DIREKTE! 0.2% 0.2% 0 0
In the last election of the 27.10.2019 90 representatives from 6 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2024.