Election trends and current polls for Thuringia

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
CDU
24.3%
-0.3
Linke
28.6%
+0.8
SPD
8.6%
+0.1
AfD
22.9%
+0.6
Grüne
7.5%
-0.4
FDP
4.7%
+0.2
FW
2%
±0
Sonstige
1.4%
-1
Changes to last election from 27.10.2019
CDU
+2.5
Linke
-2.4
SPD
+0.4
AfD
-0.5
Grüne
+2.3
FDP
-0.3
FW
+2.0
Political orientation
CDU
arrow_forward_ios
Linke
arrow_back_iosarrow_back_ios
SPD
arrow_back_ios
AfD
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
Grüne
nature
FDP
zoom_out_map
FW
arrow_forward_ios

The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Last Sunday questions

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Thüringischer Landtag
FSG Wahlen - 24.10.2019
CDU
26%
±0
28%
+1
SPD
9%
±0
AfD
21%
+1
7%
-1
FDP
5%
±0
4%
-1
Thüringischer Landtag
INSA - 24.10.2019
CDU
24%
+1
28%
-1
SPD
9%
±0
AfD
24%
±0
8%
-1
FDP
5%
+1
2%
±0
Thüringischer Landtag
Civey - 23.10.2019
CDU
22.9%
-1.3
30.2%
+4.9
SPD
8.2%
-0.2
AfD
23.2%
+0.9
7.4%
-1.8
FDP
5%
±0
3.1%
-2.5
Thüringischer Landtag
Infratest dimap - 17.10.2019
CDU
24%
+2
29%
+1
SPD
8%
+1
AfD
24%
-1
7%
-1
FDP
4%
-1
4%
-1
Thüringischer Landtag
FSG Wahlen - 17.10.2019
CDU
26%
±0
27%
±0
SPD
9%
±0
AfD
20%
±0
8%
±0
FDP
5%
±0
5%
±0
Data source: dawum.de

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
CDU + AfD + Grüne
59.5%
CDU + AfD
51.3%
Rot-Rot-Grün
48.7%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 5%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
CDU
Linke
SPD
AfD
Grüne
FDP
FW

Last election

The results of the last election from 27.10.2019
Seats
Party (min. 0.2%) Percent Seats
Die Linke 31.0% 2.8% 29 1
AfD 23.4% 12.8% 22 11
CDU 21.8% -11.7% 21 -13
SPD 8.2% -4.2% 8 -4
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 5.2% -0.4% 5 -1
FDP 5.0% 2.5% 5 5
TIERSCHUTZ hier! 1.1% 1.1% 0 0
Die PARTEI 1.1% 0.5% 0 0
Gesundheitsforschung 0.5% 0.5% 0 0
Graue Panther 0.5% 0.5% 0 0
NPD 0.5% -3.1% 0 0
ÖDP 0.4% 0.4% 0 0
Piratenpartei 0.4% -0.6% 0 0
Marxisten/Leninisten 0.3% 0.3% 0 0
Bündnis Grundeinkommen 0.2% 0.2% 0 0
Die DIREKTE! 0.2% 0.2% 0 0
In the last election of the 27.10.2019 90 representatives from 6 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election takes place on 27.10.2019.