Election trends and current polls for Great Britain

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
Con
46%
+0.9
Lab
31%
+0.1
Lib Dem
10%
-0.2
SNP
4.7%
+0.6
Green
3.7%
-0.3
Brexit
2.9%
-0.5
Plaid
0.4%
+0.1
Sonstige
1.3%
-0.7
Changes to last election from 12.12.2019
Con
+2.4
Lab
-1.2
Lib Dem
-1.5
SNP
+0.8
Green
+1.0
Brexit
+0.9
Plaid
-0.1
Political orientation
Con
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Lab
arrow_back_ios
Lib Dem
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SNP
location_city
Green
nature
Brexit
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
Plaid
location_city

The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
House of Commons
Survation - 31.01.2020
Con
44%
-1
Lab
33%
-1
10%
+1
SNP
5%
+1
3%
±0
3%
±0
0%
-1
2%
+1
House of Commons
YouGov - 26.01.2020
Con
49%
±0
Lab
29%
±0
10%
±0
SNP
5%
±0
4%
±0
2%
±0
1%
±0
0%
-7
House of Commons
Opinium - 17.01.2020
Con
47%
+2
Lab
30%
-3
9%
-3
SNP
5%
+1
4%
+2
3%
+1
0%
±0
2%
±0
House of Commons
BMG Research - 10.01.2020
Con
44%
+3
Lab
29%
-3
11%
-3
SNP
3%
±0
5%
+2
4%
±0
0.5%
±0
3.5%
-2.5
House of Commons
Survation - 11.12.2019
Con
45%
±0
Lab
34%
+3
9%
-2
SNP
4%
+1
3%
+1
3%
-1
1%
±0
1%
-2
Data source: EOPAOD

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
Con + Lab
78%
Con + Lib Dem
56.7%
Con + SNP + Green
55.1%
Con + Brexit + Green
53.2%
Con + SNP + Plaid
51.8%
Con + SNP
51.4%
Con + Green + Plaid
50.7%
Lab + Lib Dem + SNP + Green + Plaid
50.4%
Con + Green
50.3%
Lab + Lib Dem + SNP + Green
50%
Con + Brexit
49.5%
Con + Plaid
47%
Lab + Lib Dem + SNP + Plaid
46.7%
Con
46.6%
Lab + Lib Dem + SNP
46.3%
Lab + Lib Dem + Green + Plaid
45.6%
Lab + Lib Dem + Green
45.2%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 0%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
Con
Lab
Lib Dem
SNP
Green
Brexit
Plaid
UKIP
Nat

Last election

The results of the last election from 12.12.2019
Seats
Party Percent Seats
Tories 43.6% 1.2% 365 47
Labour 32.2% -7.8% 203 -59
Scottish National Party 3.9% 0.9% 48 13
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 4.1% 11 -1
Democratic Unionist Party 0.8% -0.1% 8 -2
Sinn Féin 0.6% -0.1% 7 0
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0% 4 0
Social Democratic and Labour Party 0.4% 0.1% 2 2
Green Party 2.7% 1.1% 1 0
Alliance 0.4% 0.2% 1 1
Brexit Party 2.0% 2% 0 0
Sonstige 1.1% 0.2% 0 0
Ulster Unionist Party 0.3% 0% 0 0
In the last election of the 12.12.2019 650 representatives from 10 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2024.