Election trends and current polls for France

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
LREM
25.9%
+3.2
LR
10%
-2.8
RN
26.8%
+2.7
FI
10.8%
+2.5
PS
4.2%
-1.1
EELV
7.4%
-0.2
LP
1.6%
-0.1
PCF
2.5%
-0.9
Agir–UDI
1.1%
-0.4
DLF
5.4%
+1.6
UPR
1.3%
+0.1
LO
0.7%
-0.4
G·s
2.2%
-0.1
Sonstige
0.1%
-4.1
Changes to last election from 11.06.2017
LREM
-2.3
LR
-5.8
RN
+13.6
FI
-0.2
PS
-3.2
EELV
+3.1
LP
+1.6
PCF
-0.2
Agir–UDI
-1.9
DLF
+4.2
UPR
+1.3
LO
+0.7
G·s
+2.2
Political orientation
LREM
zoom_out_map
LR
arrow_forward_ios
RN
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
FI
arrow_back_iosarrow_back_ios
PS
arrow_back_ios
EELV
nature
LP
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
PCF
arrow_back_iosarrow_back_iosarrow_back_ios
Agir–UDI
arrow_forward_ios
DLF
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
UPR
arrow_back_iosarrow_forward_ios
LO
arrow_back_iosarrow_back_iosarrow_back_ios
G·s
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The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Assemblée nationale
Ifop - 30.10.2019
27.33%
+5.33
LR
9.33%
-0.67
RN
28%
+5
FI
11%
+4.5
PS
2.83%
-2.17
8.17%
-0.33
1%
-2.5
DLF
6.5%
±0
LO
0.5%
+0.5
NPA
1%
+1
PCF
1.5%
+1.5
R!
1.33%
+1.33
UPR
1%
+1
0.01%
-10.99
Assemblée nationale
ELABE - 29.10.2019
27.83%
+4.83
LR
7.83%
-4.67
RN
28.17%
+4.67
FI
12.83%
+4.83
6.67%
-1.83
DLF
6.17%
+1.67
LO
0.67%
-0.83
NPA
3.17%
+2.67
5%
+1.5
UPR
1.67%
+0.67
Assemblée nationale
Harris Interactive - 23.05.2019
22.5%
±0
LR
12%
-0.5
RN
24.5%
+0.5
FI
9.5%
±0
PS
5%
+0.5
7.5%
+0.5
1.5%
±0
DLF
3.5%
±0
2%
±0
LO
1%
±0
LP
1.5%
±0
PCF
3.5%
±0
UPR
1%
±0
5%
-1
Assemblée nationale
Ifop-Fiducial - 23.05.2019
23%
±0
LR
14%
±0
RN
24.5%
±0
FI
8%
-0.5
PS
6%
±0
7%
+0.5
1.5%
±0
DLF
4%
±0
2%
±0
LO
0.5%
±0
LP
2%
+0.5
PCF
3.5%
±0
UPR
1.5%
±0
2.5%
-0.5
Assemblée nationale
Harris Interactive - 22.05.2019
22.5%
±0
LR
12.5%
±0
RN
24%
±0
FI
9.5%
±0
PS
4.5%
-0.5
7%
±0
1.5%
±0
DLF
3.5%
±0
2%
±0
LO
1%
±0
LP
1.5%
-0.5
PCF
3.5%
+0.5
UPR
1%
±0
6%
+0.5
Data source: EOPAOD

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
RN + LREM + LR + LP
64.3%
RN + LREM + EELV + LP + UPR + Agir–UDI
64.1%
RN + LREM + LR + UPR
64%
RN + LREM + LR + Agir–UDI
63.8%
RN + LREM + EELV + LP + UPR
63%
RN + LREM + EELV + LP + Agir–UDI
62.8%
RN + LREM + LR
62.7%
RN + LREM + EELV + UPR + Agir–UDI
62.5%
RN + LREM + DLF + LP + UPR + Agir–UDI
62.1%
RN + LREM + EELV + LP
61.7%
RN + LREM + EELV + UPR
61.4%
RN + LREM + EELV + Agir–UDI
61.2%
RN + LREM + DLF + LP + UPR
61%
RN + LREM + DLF + LP + Agir–UDI
60.8%
RN + LREM + DLF + UPR + Agir–UDI
60.5%
RN + LREM + EELV
60.1%
RN + LREM + DLF + LP
59.7%
RN + LREM + DLF + UPR
59.4%
RN + LREM + DLF + Agir–UDI
59.2%
RN + LREM + DLF
58.1%
RN + LREM + LP + UPR + Agir–UDI
56.7%
RN + LREM + LP + UPR
55.6%
RN + LREM + LP + Agir–UDI
55.4%
RN + LREM + UPR + Agir–UDI
55.1%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + PCF + G·s + UPR + LO
55%
RN + LREM + LP
54.3%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + PCF + G·s + UPR
54.3%
RN + LREM + UPR
54%
RN + LREM + Agir–UDI
53.8%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + PCF + G·s + LO
53.7%
RN + LR + EELV + DLF + LP + UPR + Agir–UDI
53.6%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + PCF + G·s
53%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + PCF + UPR + LO
52.8%
RN + LREM
52.7%
LREM + LR + EELV + DLF + LP + UPR + Agir–UDI
52.7%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + G·s + UPR + LO
52.5%
RN + LR + EELV + DLF + LP + UPR
52.5%
RN + LR + EELV + DLF + LP + Agir–UDI
52.3%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + PCF + UPR
52.1%
RN + LR + EELV + DLF + UPR + Agir–UDI
52%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + G·s + UPR
51.8%
LREM + LR + EELV + DLF + LP + UPR
51.6%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + PCF + LO
51.5%
LREM + LR + EELV + DLF + LP + Agir–UDI
51.4%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + G·s + LO
51.2%
RN + LR + EELV + DLF + LP
51.2%
LREM + LR + EELV + DLF + UPR + Agir–UDI
51.1%
RN + LR + EELV + DLF + UPR
50.9%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + PCF
50.8%
LREM + FI + EELV + PCF + G·s + UPR + LO
50.8%
RN + LR + EELV + DLF + Agir–UDI
50.7%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + G·s
50.5%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + UPR + LO
50.3%
LREM + LR + EELV + DLF + LP
50.3%
LREM + FI + EELV + PCF + G·s + UPR
50.1%
LREM + LR + EELV + DLF + UPR
50%
LREM + LR + EELV + PS + UPR + Agir–UDI
49.9%
LREM + LR + EELV + DLF + Agir–UDI
49.8%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + UPR
49.6%
RN + LR + EELV + DLF
49.6%
LREM + FI + EELV + PCF + G·s + LO
49.5%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS + LO
49%
LREM + FI + EELV + PCF + G·s
48.8%
LREM + LR + EELV + PS + UPR
48.8%
LREM + LR + EELV + DLF
48.7%
LREM + FI + EELV + PCF + UPR + LO
48.6%
LREM + LR + EELV + PS + Agir–UDI
48.6%
LREM + FI + EELV + G·s + UPR + LO
48.3%
LREM + FI + EELV + PS
48.3%
RN + LR + EELV + LP + UPR + Agir–UDI
48.2%
LREM + FI + EELV + PCF + UPR
47.9%
LREM + FI + PS + PCF + G·s + UPR + LO
47.6%
LREM + FI + EELV + G·s + UPR
47.6%
LREM + LR + EELV + PS
47.5%
LREM + FI + EELV + PCF + LO
47.3%
LREM + LR + EELV + LP + UPR + Agir–UDI
47.3%
RN + LR + EELV + LP + UPR
47.1%
LREM + FI + EELV + G·s + LO
47%
LREM + FI + PS + PCF + G·s + UPR
46.9%
RN + LR + EELV + LP + Agir–UDI
46.9%
LREM + FI + EELV + PCF
46.6%
RN + LR + EELV + UPR + Agir–UDI
46.6%
LREM + FI + PS + PCF + G·s + LO
46.3%
LREM + FI + EELV + G·s
46.3%
LREM + LR + EELV + LP + UPR
46.2%
RN + LR + DLF + LP + UPR + Agir–UDI
46.2%
LREM + FI + EELV + UPR + LO
46.1%
LREM + LR + EELV + LP + Agir–UDI
46%
RN + LR + EELV + LP
45.8%
LREM + LR + EELV + UPR + Agir–UDI
45.7%
LREM + FI + PS + PCF + G·s
45.6%
RN + LR + EELV + UPR
45.5%
LREM + FI + PS + PCF + UPR + LO
45.4%
LREM + FI + EELV + UPR
45.4%
RN + LR + EELV + Agir–UDI
45.3%
LREM + LR + DLF + LP + UPR + Agir–UDI
45.3%
LREM + FI + PS + G·s + UPR + LO
45.1%
RN + LR + DLF + LP + UPR
45.1%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is %.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
LREM
LR
RN
FI
PS
EELV
Agir–UDI
DLF
G·s
LO
LP
PCF
UPR
R!
NPA

Last election

The results of the last election from 11.06.2017
Seats
Party (min. 0.2%) Percent Seats
République en marche 28.2% 28.2% 308 308
Les Républicains 15.8% -11.3% 112 -82
Mouvement démocrate 4.1% 2.3% 42 40
Parti socialiste 7.4% -22% 30 -250
Agir 3.0% 3% 18 18
La France insoumise 11.0% 11% 17 17
Parti communiste français 2.7% 2.7% 10 10
Divers gauche 1.6% -1.8% 10 -12
Rassemblement national 13.2% -0.4% 6 4
Divers droite 2.8% -0.7% 6 -9
Les partis régionaux 0.9% 0.3% 5 3
Parti radical de gauche 0.5% -1.2% 3 -9
Les Verts 4.3% -1.2% 1 -16
Debout la France 1.2% 1.2% 1 1
Extreme droite 0.3% 0.1% 1 0
Sonstige 2.2% 1.9% 0 0
Extrême gauche 0.8% 0.8% 0 0
In the last election of the 11.06.2017 570 representatives from 15 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2022.