Election trends and current polls for Berlin

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
SPD
16.4%
-2.2
CDU
20.6%
-0.7
Linke
17.3%
+2.2
Grüne
20.1%
-1.8
AfD
11.6%
+1
FDP
5.1%
-0.3
Sonstige
8.9%
+1.8
Changes to last election from 18.09.2016
SPD
-5.2
CDU
+3.0
Linke
+1.7
Grüne
+4.9
AfD
-2.6
FDP
-1.6
Political orientation
SPD
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CDU
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Linke
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Grüne
nature
AfD
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FDP
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The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Berliner Abgeordnetenhaus
INSA - 15.07.2020
SPD
16%
+1
CDU
21%
+3
18%
-1
19%
-4
AfD
12%
-1
FDP
5%
-2
9%
+4
Berliner Abgeordnetenhaus
Infratest dimap - 29.04.2020
SPD
20%
+4
CDU
23%
+5
14%
-3
21%
-2
AfD
10%
-4
FDP
5%
±0
7%
±0
Berliner Abgeordnetenhaus
Forsa - 11.02.2020
SPD
15%
±0
CDU
16%
-1
17%
-2
25%
+3
AfD
11%
±0
FDP
6%
±0
10%
±0
Berliner Abgeordnetenhaus
INSA - 02.01.2020
SPD
15%
±0
CDU
18%
+1
19%
+1
23%
-1
AfD
13%
-1
FDP
7%
+1
5%
-1
Berliner Abgeordnetenhaus
Forsa - 26.12.2019
SPD
15%
-1
CDU
17%
±0
19%
+2
22%
-2
AfD
11%
±0
FDP
6%
+1
10%
±0

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
CDU + Grüne + SPD
62.7%
Rot-Rot-Grün
59.1%
CDU + Grüne + AfD
57.4%
CDU + Grüne + FDP
50.3%
Grüne + Linke + FDP
46.7%
CDU + SPD + FDP
46.2%
Ampelkoalition
45.7%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 5%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
SPD
CDU
Linke
Grüne
AfD
FDP
PARTEI

Last election

The results of the last election from 18.09.2016
Seats
Party Percent Seats
SPD 21.6% -6.7% 38 -9
CDU 17.6% -5.7% 31 -8
Die Linke 15.6% 3.9% 27 8
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 15.2% -2.4% 27 -2
AfD 14.2% 14.2% 25 25
FDP 6.7% 4.9% 12 12
Die PARTEI 2.0% 1.1% 0 0
Tierschutzpartei 1.9% 0.4% 0 0
Piratenpartei 1.7% -7.2% 0 -15
Graue Panther 1.1% 1.1% 0 0
NPD 0.6% -1.5% 0 0
Gesundheitsforschung 0.5% 0.5% 0 0
ALFA 0.4% 0.4% 0 0
Bürgerbewegung pro Deutschland 0.4% -0.8% 0 0
Deutsche Kommunistische Partei 0.2% 0% 0 0
In the last election of the 18.09.2016 160 representatives from 6 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2021.