Election trends and current polls for Lower Saxony

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
SPD
28.9%
+0.8
CDU
29.9%
+1
Grüne
16.1%
-1.7
FDP
7.7%
-0.4
AfD
8.5%
-1
Linke
5%
+0.3
Sonstige
3.9%
+1
Changes to last election from 15.10.2017
SPD
-8.0
CDU
-3.7
Grüne
+7.4
FDP
+0.2
AfD
+2.3
Linke
+0.4
Political orientation
SPD
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CDU
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Grüne
nature
FDP
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AfD
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Linke
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The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Niedersächsischer Landtag
Forsa - 11.02.2019
SPD
28%
-5
CDU
30%
-3
17%
+7
FDP
7%
-1
AfD
8%
+2
5%
-1
5%
+1
Niedersächsischer Landtag
Infratest dimap - 22.11.2018
SPD
26%
-8
CDU
28%
-6
24%
+15.5
FDP
6%
-2
AfD
9%
+1
4%
-0.5
3%
±0
Niedersächsischer Landtag
INSA - 21.11.2018
SPD
26%
-7
CDU
27%
-5
17%
+7
FDP
10%
±0
AfD
12%
+5
5%
±0
3%
±0
Niedersächsischer Landtag
Forsa - 25.02.2018
SPD
33%
-3
CDU
33%
-2
10%
+2
FDP
8%
+2
AfD
6%
±0
6%
+2
4%
-1
Niedersächsischer Landtag
Civey - 13.10.2017
SPD
34.6%
+1.8
CDU
31.8%
-1.3
8.5%
-1.4
FDP
8.9%
+0.9
AfD
7.8%
-0.3
5.7%
+0.3
2.7%
±0
Data source: dawum.de

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
CDU + SPD + Grüne + FDP
86%
CDU + SPD + Grüne
78%
CDU + SPD + FDP
69.2%
CDU + Grüne + AfD + FDP
64.7%
CDU + SPD
61.2%
Liberale Links-Koalition
60.1%
CDU + Grüne + AfD
56.7%
CDU + Grüne + FDP
55.9%
Ampelkoalition
54.9%
Rot-Rot-Grün
52.1%
CDU + Grüne
47.9%
CDU + AfD + FDP
47.9%
Rot-Grün
46.9%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 5%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
SPD
CDU
Grüne
FDP
AfD
Linke

Last election

The results of the last election from 15.10.2017
Seats
Party (min. 0.2%) Percent Seats
SPD 36.9% 4.3% 55 6
CDU 33.6% -2.4% 50 -4
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.7% -5% 12 -8
FDP 7.5% -2.4% 11 -3
AfD 6.2% 6.2% 9 9
Die Linke 4.6% 1.5% 0 0
Tierschutzpartei 0.7% 0.7% 0 0
Die PARTEI 0.6% 0.6% 0 0
Freie Wähler 0.4% -0.7% 0 0
Piratenpartei 0.2% -1.9% 0 0
In the last election of the 15.10.2017 137 representatives from 5 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2023.