Election trends and current polls for North Rhine-Westphalia

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
CDU
31%
+1.8
SPD
19.9%
+0.6
FDP
9.6%
-1.5
AfD
9%
+0.8
Grüne
21.6%
+0.2
Linke
5.3%
-0.4
Piraten
2%
±0
Sonstige
1.6%
-1.5
Changes to last election from 14.05.2017
CDU
-2.0
SPD
-11.3
FDP
-3.0
AfD
+1.6
Grüne
+15.2
Linke
+0.4
Piraten
+1.0
Political orientation
CDU
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SPD
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FDP
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AfD
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Grüne
nature
Linke
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Piraten
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The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Landtag von Nordrhein-Westfalen
Infratest dimap - 03.11.2019
CDU
32%
+2
SPD
20%
-3
FDP
8%
-4
AfD
7%
-2
23%
+6
6%
±0
4%
+1
Landtag von Nordrhein-Westfalen
Mentefactum - 02.11.2019
CDU
31%
+3
SPD
20%
+1
FDP
10%
-1
AfD
10%
-1
21%
+2
5%
-3
4%
±0
Landtag von Nordrhein-Westfalen
Forsa - 17.08.2019
CDU
29%
-5
SPD
18%
-6
FDP
11%
-1
AfD
7%
±0
24%
+14
5%
-2
6%
±0
Landtag von Nordrhein-Westfalen
Infratest dimap - 24.02.2019
CDU
30%
+2
SPD
23%
+2
FDP
12%
+1
AfD
9%
-3
17%
±0
6%
-2
3%
±0
Landtag von Nordrhein-Westfalen
- 25.11.2018
CDU
28%
±0
SPD
19%
±0
FDP
11%
±0
AfD
11%
±0
19%
±0
8%
±0
4%
±0
Data source: dawum.de

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
CDU + Grüne + SPD + FDP
85.2%
CDU + Grüne + SPD
75.2%
CDU + Grüne + FDP + AfD
73.9%
CDU + Grüne + FDP
64.6%
CDU + Grüne + AfD
63.9%
CDU + SPD + FDP
62.8%
Liberale Links-Koalition
58.5%
CDU + Grüne
54.6%
Ampelkoalition
53%
CDU + SPD
52.8%
CDU + FDP + AfD
51.5%
Rot-Rot-Grün
48.5%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 5%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
CDU
SPD
FDP
AfD
Grüne
Linke
Piraten

Last election

The results of the last election from 14.05.2017
Seats
Party (min. 0.2%) Percent Seats
CDU 33.0% 6.7% 72 5
SPD 31.2% -7.9% 69 -30
FDP 12.6% 4% 28 6
AfD 7.4% 7.4% 16 16
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 6.4% -4.9% 14 -15
Die Linke 4.9% 2.4% 0 0
Piratenpartei 1.0% -6.8% 0 -20
Die PARTEI 0.7% 0.4% 0 0
Tierschutzpartei 0.7% 0% 0 0
Freie Wähler 0.4% 0.2% 0 0
NPD 0.3% -0.2% 0 0
Allianz Deutscher Demokraten 0.2% 0.2% 0 0
BIG 0.2% 0.1% 0 0
ÖDP 0.2% 0.1% 0 0
In the last election of the 14.05.2017 199 representatives from 5 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2022.