Election trends and current polls for Schleswig-Holstein

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
CDU
29.7%
-1.3
SPD
21.6%
-0.2
Grüne
22.4%
+2.6
FDP
9.1%
±0
AfD
6.7%
±0
Linke
3.8%
-1.3
SSW
3%
±0
Sonstige
3.7%
+1.2
Changes to last election from 07.05.2017
CDU
-2.3
SPD
-5.7
Grüne
+9.5
FDP
-2.4
AfD
+0.8
Linke
±0.0
SSW
-0.3
Political orientation
CDU
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SPD
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Grüne
nature
FDP
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AfD
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Linke
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SSW

The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Landtag von Schleswig-Holstein
INSA - 28.01.2020
CDU
28%
-2
SPD
20%
±0
26%
+4
FDP
9%
±0
AfD
7%
±0
3%
-2
SSW
3%
±0
4%
+1
Landtag von Schleswig-Holstein
INSA - 08.02.2019
CDU
30%
-3
SPD
20%
-9
22%
+10
FDP
9%
-1
AfD
7%
+2
5%
±0
SSW
3%
-1
FW
1%
±0
3%
+1
Landtag von Schleswig-Holstein
Infratest dimap - 20.04.2018
CDU
34%
+2
SPD
22%
-9
18%
+6
FDP
8%
-0.5
AfD
6%
±0
6%
+1.5
SSW
3%
±0
3%
±0
Landtag von Schleswig-Holstein
FSG Wahlen - 04.05.2017
CDU
32%
±0
SPD
29%
-1
12%
±0
FDP
11%
+2
AfD
6%
±0
4.5%
-0.5
SSW
3%
±0
2.5%
-0.5
Landtag von Schleswig-Holstein
INSA - 29.04.2017
CDU
33%
±0
SPD
29%
±0
12%
±0
FDP
10%
±0
AfD
5%
±0
5%
±0
SSW
4%
±0
2%
±0
Data source: dawum.de

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
Ampelkoalition
59.3%
CDU + Grüne
58.2%
CDU + SPD
57.3%
CDU + FDP + AfD
50.9%
Rot-Grün
49.1%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 5%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
CDU
SPD
Grüne
FDP
AfD
Linke
SSW
FW

Last election

The results of the last election from 07.05.2017
Seats
Party (min. 0.2%) Percent Seats
CDU 32.0% 1.2% 25 3
SPD 27.3% -3.1% 21 -1
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 12.9% -0.3% 10 0
FDP 11.5% 3.3% 9 3
AfD 5.9% 5.9% 5 5
SSW 3.3% -1.3% 3 0
Die Linke 3.8% 1.5% 0 0
Piratenpartei 1.2% -7% 0 -6
Die PARTEI 0.6% 0.6% 0 0
Freie Wähler 0.6% 0% 0 0
FAMILIE 0.6% -0.4% 0 0
Zukunft. Schleswig-Holstein 0.3% 0.3% 0 0
Bernd Lucke und die LKR 0.2% 0.2% 0 0
In the last election of the 07.05.2017 73 representatives from 6 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2022.