Current election polls and polling data from Alco

Latest voting intention survey by Alco for Greece

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Greece conducted by Alco, the parties received the following results: Nea Dimokratia 27.9%, PASOK 18.5%, Ellinikí Lýsi 10.3%, Kommounistikó 9.2%, SYRIZA 8.3%, Foní Logikís 5.9%, Kínima Dimokratías 5.3%, Plefsi Eleftherias 5%, NIKI 3.6%, MeRA25 2.3% and Néa Aristerá 1.2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1002 people during the period 07.12.2024 - 07.12.2024. The survey was commissioned by Alpha TV.
1002 participants
02.12.2024 - 07.12.2024
Alco
Alpha TV
ND
27.9
-1.6
PASOK
18.5
+0.5
EL
10.3
-0.7
KKE
9.2
-1.0
SYRIZA
8.3
+0.6
FL
5.9
+1.1
KD
5.3
+5.3
PE
5.0
+1.1
N
3.6
-1.1
MeRA25
2.3
-1.1
NA
1.2
-1.0
Others
2.5
-2.1

Seats in parliament

300
Majority requires 151 seats
KKE
29
9.7%
SYRIZA
26
8.7%
PE
16
5.3%
PASOK
59
19.7%
KD
17
5.7%
ND
90
30%
EL
33
11%
FL
19
6.3%
N
11
3.7%
Nea Dimokratia + PASOK + Foní Logikís
56.0%
Nea Dimokratia + PASOK + Kínima Dimokratías
55.3%
Nea Dimokratia + PASOK
49.7%

Rating of parties

Institute often rates Nea Dimokratia lower

In 59% of election polls Alco rates Nea Dimokratia lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
EL
4
92
4
FL
Not enough data available
KD
Not enough data available
KKE
4
92
4
MeRA25
0
95
5
N
0
100
0
NA
Not enough data available
ND
59
35
6
PASOK
16
84
0
PE
0
100
0
SYRIZA
16
69
16

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.6

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Alco pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.6 percentage points.

Average deviation of pre-election polls from the last election results

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

We compare pre-election polls from the institutes with the actual election results. This involves calculating the average deviation of party values and deriving an overall average. All parties with an election result of 3% or higher are included in the calculation.