Latest Opinion Poll for the Election in Greece (Alco, February 16, 2025)

February 11, 2025 - February 16, 2025

1001 respondents

Next General election in Greece: 2027

The next General election in Greece is expected in 2027.

Greece's Incumbent Government Lacks Majority

Based on the Alco projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 31.7% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Alco?

The latest opinion poll for the Greek election, conducted by Alco on February 16, 2025, shows Nea Dimokratia leading with 28.7%. Trailing behind are PASOK: 15.6%, Kommounistikó: 9%, Ellinikí Lýsi: 8.9%, SYRIZA: 8.6%, Foní Logikís: 6.7%, Plefsi Eleftherias: 6.6%, NIKI: 3.9%, Kínima Dimokratías: 3.2%, MeRA25: 2.3%, Spartiátes: 2.1% and Néa Aristerá: 1.5%. Other parties secure 2.9% of the votes.

Current Election Trend: Greece
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Quality Check: How Reliable is the Alco Projection?

76

PolitPro Score

Alco achieved a PolitPro Score of 76 out of 100.

1.8

Election Accuracy

On average, Alco's figures deviate by 1.8 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Alco at a Glance
Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias
Which institutes are the most reliable?
Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

300
Majority requires 151 seats

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the election in Greece is 3%.

Nea Dimokratia + PASOK
Centre
57.3%
SYRIZA + PASOK + Kommounistikó
Left
51.7%
Nea Dimokratia + Ellinikí Lýsi
Centre-Right
48.3%
SYRIZA + PASOK
Left
45.3%
SYRIZA + Kommounistikó + Ellinikí Lýsi
Centre-Left
42.7%

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: Opinion)

According to Opinion, 5 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter the Hellenic Parliament: Nea Dimokratia with 126 representatives, SYRIZA with 90 representatives, PASOK with 46 representatives, Kommounistikó with 19 representatives and Ellinikí Lýsi with 19 representatives.

The Electoral System in Greece

The Greek Parliament, known as the Vouli ton Ellinon, comprises 300 members elected for a four-year term. Greece employs a reinforced proportional representation system. This system allocates most seats proportionally but grants the strongest party a seat bonus under specific conditions. Designed to be degressive, this bonus aids the winning party in securing an absolute majority of seats, fostering stable single-party governments. Voters cast ballots for party lists, yet they can influence which candidates fill the party's mandates by marking preference crosses next to names.

Electoral Thresholds

To enter the Greek Parliament, a political party must clear a nationwide electoral threshold of 3% of valid votes. This hurdle applies to both individual parties and party alliances. Parties failing to meet this threshold are excluded from seat allocation. Votes cast for parties below the 3% threshold are proportionally redistributed among qualified parties, further facilitating the formation of parliamentary majorities.

Government Formation and Traditions

Government formation in Greece prioritizes stability. The President of the Republic grants the leader of the party with the most seats the mandate to form a government. Thanks to the bonus system, single-party rule is more common in Greece than in other European nations. If seats fall short of an absolute majority (151 out of 300), exploratory mandates are extended to the second and third strongest parties to assess coalition prospects. Should all attempts fail, new elections are called, often under an electoral system designed to favor majority formation.

Coalition Calculator
Which parties could form a stable majority?

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

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