Latest Opinion Poll for the Election in Greece (GPO, June 13, 2025)

June 10, 2025 - June 13, 2025

1000 respondents

Next General election in Greece: 2027

The next General election in Greece is expected in 2027.

Greece's Incumbent Government Lacks Majority

Based on the GPO projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 34.3% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from GPO?

The latest opinion poll for the Greek election, conducted by GPO on June 13, 2025, shows Nea Dimokratia leading with 30.3%. Trailing behind are PASOK: 14.8%, Plefsi Eleftherias: 14.6%, Ellinikí Lýsi: 10.8%, Kommounistikó: 8.4%, SYRIZA: 6.1%, Foní Logikís: 3.5%, Kínima Dimokratías: 2.8%, NIKI: 2.6%, Néa Aristerá: 1.7% and MeRA25: 1.2%. Other parties secure 3.2% of the votes.

Current Election Trend: Greece
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Quality Check: How Reliable is the GPO Projection?

71

PolitPro Score

GPO achieved a PolitPro Score of 71 out of 100.

2.1

Election Accuracy

On average, GPO's figures deviate by 2.1 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

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Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

300
Majority requires 151 seats

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the election in Greece is 3%.

Nea Dimokratia + PASOK + Foní Logikís
Centre
53.7%
Nea Dimokratia + PASOK
Centre
48.7%
Nea Dimokratia + Ellinikí Lýsi + Foní Logikís
Centre-Right
48.0%
Nea Dimokratia + Ellinikí Lýsi + NIKI
Centre-Right
47.0%
PASOK + Kommounistikó + SYRIZA + MeRA25
Centre-Left
43.3%
Nea Dimokratia + Ellinikí Lýsi
Centre-Right
43.0%

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: MRB)

According to MRB, 9 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter the Hellenic Parliament: Nea Dimokratia with 94 representatives, PASOK with 52 representatives, Ellinikí Lýsi with 35 representatives, Kommounistikó with 33 representatives, SYRIZA with 32 representatives, Foní Logikís with 15 representatives, Plefsi Eleftherias with 14 representatives, MeRA25 with 13 representatives and NIKI with 12 representatives.

The Electoral System in Greece

The Greek Parliament, known as the Vouli ton Ellinon, comprises 300 members elected for a four-year term. Greece employs a reinforced proportional representation system. This system allocates most seats proportionally but grants the strongest party a seat bonus under specific conditions. Designed to be degressive, this bonus aids the winning party in securing an absolute majority of seats, fostering stable single-party governments. Voters cast ballots for party lists, yet they can influence which candidates fill the party's mandates by marking preference crosses next to names.

Electoral Thresholds

To enter the Greek Parliament, a political party must clear a nationwide electoral threshold of 3% of valid votes. This hurdle applies to both individual parties and party alliances. Parties failing to meet this threshold are excluded from seat allocation. Votes cast for parties below the 3% threshold are proportionally redistributed among qualified parties, further facilitating the formation of parliamentary majorities.

Government Formation and Traditions

Government formation in Greece prioritizes stability. The President of the Republic grants the leader of the party with the most seats the mandate to form a government. Thanks to the bonus system, single-party rule is more common in Greece than in other European nations. If seats fall short of an absolute majority (151 out of 300), exploratory mandates are extended to the second and third strongest parties to assess coalition prospects. Should all attempts fail, new elections are called, often under an electoral system designed to favor majority formation.

Coalition Calculator
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Data Sources and Methodology

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