Marc
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1107 respondents
The next General Election in Greece is expected in 2027.
Based on the Marc projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 37.0% of the parliamentary seats.
According to the latest national poll in Greece by Marc, Nea Dimokratia commands 32.7% of support, with PASOK: 13.7%, Plefsi Eleftherias: 10.6%, Ellinikí Lýsi: 9.3%, Kommounistikó: 8.5%, SYRIZA: 7.2%, Foní Logikís: 3.8%, MeRA25: 3.2%, Kínima Dimokratías: 2.5%, NIKI: 2.2%, Spartiátes: 1.9% and Néa Aristerá: 1% trailing. Other parties secure 3.4% of the votes.
Marc achieved a PolitPro Score of 77 out of 100.
On average, Marc's figures deviate by 1.8 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.
In 49% of polls, Marc rated Nea Dimokratia higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 24% of polls, Marc rated Plefsi Eleftherias higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 33% of polls, Marc rated Néa Aristerá lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
The electoral threshold for the election in Greece is 3%.
According to Marc, 8 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter the Hellenic Parliament: Nea Dimokratia with 111 representatives, PASOK with 46 representatives, Plefsi Eleftherias with 36 representatives, Ellinikí Lýsi with 31 representatives, Kommounistikó with 29 representatives, SYRIZA with 24 representatives, Foní Logikís with 13 representatives and MeRA25 with 10 representatives.
The Greek Parliament, known as the Vouli ton Ellinon, comprises 300 members elected for a four-year term. Greece employs a reinforced proportional representation system. This system allocates most seats proportionally but grants the strongest party a seat bonus under specific conditions. Designed to be degressive, this bonus aids the winning party in securing an absolute majority of seats, fostering stable single-party governments. Voters cast ballots for party lists, yet they can influence which candidates fill the party's mandates by marking preference crosses next to names.
To enter the Greek Parliament, a political party must clear a nationwide electoral threshold of 3% of valid votes. This hurdle applies to both individual parties and party alliances. Parties failing to meet this threshold are excluded from seat allocation. Votes cast for parties below the 3% threshold are proportionally redistributed among qualified parties, further facilitating the formation of parliamentary majorities.
Government formation in Greece prioritizes stability. The President of the Republic grants the leader of the party with the most seats the mandate to form a government. Thanks to the bonus system, single-party rule is more common in Greece than in other European nations. If seats fall short of an absolute majority (151 out of 300), exploratory mandates are extended to the second and third strongest parties to assess coalition prospects. Should all attempts fail, new elections are called, often under an electoral system designed to favor majority formation.