Latest Opinion Poll for the Election in Greece (Marc, October 17, 2025)

October 13, 2025 - October 17, 2025

1107 respondents

Next General Election in Greece: 2027

The next General Election in Greece is expected in 2027.

Greece's Incumbent Government Lacks Majority

Based on the Marc projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 37.0% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Marc?

According to the latest national poll in Greece by Marc, Nea Dimokratia commands 32.7% of support, with PASOK: 13.7%, Plefsi Eleftherias: 10.6%, Ellinikí Lýsi: 9.3%, Kommounistikó: 8.5%, SYRIZA: 7.2%, Foní Logikís: 3.8%, MeRA25: 3.2%, Kínima Dimokratías: 2.5%, NIKI: 2.2%, Spartiátes: 1.9% and Néa Aristerá: 1% trailing. Other parties secure 3.4% of the votes.

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Marc Projection?

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the election in Greece is 3%.

Nea Dimokratia + PASOK
Centre
52.3%
Nea Dimokratia + Ellinikí Lýsi + Foní Logikís
Centre-Right
51.7%
Nea Dimokratia + Ellinikí Lýsi
Centre-Right
47.3%
PASOK + Plefsi Eleftherias + SYRIZA + Foní Logikís + MeRA25
Centre-Left
43.0%

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: Marc)

According to Marc, 8 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter the Hellenic Parliament: Nea Dimokratia with 111 representatives, PASOK with 46 representatives, Plefsi Eleftherias with 36 representatives, Ellinikí Lýsi with 31 representatives, Kommounistikó with 29 representatives, SYRIZA with 24 representatives, Foní Logikís with 13 representatives and MeRA25 with 10 representatives.

The Electoral System in Greece

The Greek Parliament, known as the Vouli ton Ellinon, comprises 300 members elected for a four-year term. Greece employs a reinforced proportional representation system. This system allocates most seats proportionally but grants the strongest party a seat bonus under specific conditions. Designed to be degressive, this bonus aids the winning party in securing an absolute majority of seats, fostering stable single-party governments. Voters cast ballots for party lists, yet they can influence which candidates fill the party's mandates by marking preference crosses next to names.

Electoral Thresholds

To enter the Greek Parliament, a political party must clear a nationwide electoral threshold of 3% of valid votes. This hurdle applies to both individual parties and party alliances. Parties failing to meet this threshold are excluded from seat allocation. Votes cast for parties below the 3% threshold are proportionally redistributed among qualified parties, further facilitating the formation of parliamentary majorities.

Government Formation and Traditions

Government formation in Greece prioritizes stability. The President of the Republic grants the leader of the party with the most seats the mandate to form a government. Thanks to the bonus system, single-party rule is more common in Greece than in other European nations. If seats fall short of an absolute majority (151 out of 300), exploratory mandates are extended to the second and third strongest parties to assess coalition prospects. Should all attempts fail, new elections are called, often under an electoral system designed to favor majority formation.

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

Help Us Stay Independent

Your support helps shield PolitPro from the influence of lobbyists and political parties.

Give Feedback

Tell us how we can make PolitPro even better for you!

Found a Mistake?

Political data is constantly evolving. If you spot an error, please let us know. A brief reference to your source will help us verify and update the information.