Greece: New Democracy Leads Poll in Greece by a Clear Margin (Metron Analysis Poll from 17.03.2026)

According to Metron Analysis, 8 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter the Hellenic Parliament: Nea Dimokratia with 131 representatives, PASOK with 43 representatives, Plefsi Eleftherias with 33 representatives, Ellinikí Lýsi with 28 representatives, Kommounistikó with 25 representatives, MeRA25 with 14 representatives, SYRIZA with 14 representatives and Foní Logikís with 12 representatives.

The Greek Parliament, known as the Vouli ton Ellinon, comprises 300 members elected for a four-year term. Greece employs a reinforced proportional representation system. This system allocates most seats proportionally but grants the strongest party a seat bonus under specific conditions. Designed to be degressive, this bonus aids the winning party in securing an absolute majority of seats, fostering stable single-party governments. Voters cast ballots for party lists, yet they can influence which candidates fill the party's mandates by marking preference crosses next to names.

To enter the Greek Parliament, a political party must clear a nationwide electoral threshold of 3% of valid votes. This hurdle applies to both individual parties and party alliances. Parties failing to meet this threshold are excluded from seat allocation. Votes cast for parties below the 3% threshold are proportionally redistributed among qualified parties, further facilitating the formation of parliamentary majorities.

Government formation in Greece prioritizes stability. The President of the Republic grants the leader of the party with the most seats the mandate to form a government. Thanks to the bonus system, single-party rule is more common in Greece than in other European nations. If seats fall short of an absolute majority (151 out of 300), exploratory mandates are extended to the second and third strongest parties to assess coalition prospects. Should all attempts fail, new elections are called, often under an electoral system designed to favor majority formation.