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Latest Opinion Poll for the Election in Greece (tothepoint, March 14, 2026)

March 9, 2026 - March 14, 2026

1224 respondents

Next General Election in Greece: 2027

The next General Election in Greece is expected in 2027.

Greece's Incumbent Government Lacks Majority

Based on the tothepoint projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 42.3% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from tothepoint?

According to the latest national poll in Greece by tothepoint, Nea Dimokratia commands 30.7% of support, with PASOK: 14.5%, Ellinikí Lýsi: 13.7%, Plefsi Eleftherias: 8%, SYRIZA: 5.8%, Kommounistikó: 5.5%, Foní Logikís: 4.6% and NIKI: 3.6% trailing. Other parties secure 13.6% of the votes.

Current Election Trend: Greece
Poll results, coalitions, and election data
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Information, comparisons, and data on parties in Greece
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Quality Check: How Reliable is the tothepoint Projection?

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PolitPro Score

tothepoint achieved a PolitPro Score of ? out of 100.

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Election Accuracy

On average, tothepoint's figures deviate by percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

tothepoint at a Glance
Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias
Which institutes are the most reliable?
Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the election in Greece is 3%.

Nea Dimokratia + PASOK
Centre
57.3%
Nea Dimokratia + Ellinikí Lýsi
Centre-Right
56.7%
Nea Dimokratia + Foní Logikís
Centre-Right
47.0%
Nea Dimokratia + NIKI
Centre-Right
46.0%

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: tothepoint)

According to tothepoint, 8 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter the Hellenic Parliament: Nea Dimokratia with 127 representatives, PASOK with 45 representatives, Ellinikí Lýsi with 43 representatives, Plefsi Eleftherias with 25 representatives, SYRIZA with 18 representatives, Kommounistikó with 17 representatives, Foní Logikís with 14 representatives and NIKI with 11 representatives.

The Electoral System in Greece

The Greek Parliament, known as the Vouli ton Ellinon, comprises 300 members elected for a four-year term. Greece employs a reinforced proportional representation system. This system allocates most seats proportionally but grants the strongest party a seat bonus under specific conditions. Designed to be degressive, this bonus aids the winning party in securing an absolute majority of seats, fostering stable single-party governments. Voters cast ballots for party lists, yet they can influence which candidates fill the party's mandates by marking preference crosses next to names.

Electoral Thresholds

To enter the Greek Parliament, a political party must clear a nationwide electoral threshold of 3% of valid votes. This hurdle applies to both individual parties and party alliances. Parties failing to meet this threshold are excluded from seat allocation. Votes cast for parties below the 3% threshold are proportionally redistributed among qualified parties, further facilitating the formation of parliamentary majorities.

Government Formation and Traditions

Government formation in Greece prioritizes stability. The President of the Republic grants the leader of the party with the most seats the mandate to form a government. Thanks to the bonus system, single-party rule is more common in Greece than in other European nations. If seats fall short of an absolute majority (151 out of 300), exploratory mandates are extended to the second and third strongest parties to assess coalition prospects. Should all attempts fail, new elections are called, often under an electoral system designed to favor majority formation.

Coalition Calculator
Which parties could form a stable majority?

Data Sources and Methodology

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