Latest Election Polls by GPO

About GPO

64

PolitPro Score

GPO achieved a PolitPro Score of 64 out of 100.

2.1

Election Accuracy

On average, GPO's figures deviate by 2.1 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Party Analysis: Statistical Deviations by GPO

Historical Polls vs. Election Trend (in %)

Lower
Consistent
Higher
Dimokrates
Centre
ELAS
Social Democratic
Ellinikí Lýsi
Conservative
1
84
15
Elpida
Big-tent party
Foní Logikís
Far-Right
16
84
0
Kommounistikó
Left-wing
0
84
16
MeRA25
Left-wing
17
83
0
Néa Aristerá
Left
0
100
0
Nea Dimokratia
Christian Democratic
7
59
34
NIKI
Right-wing Populist
0
100
0
PASOK
Social Democratic
6
87
6
Plefsi Eleftherias
Left
0
88
12
SYRIZA
Left-wing
10
53
37

How is the data calculated?

The PolitPro Election Trend serves as the benchmark, using a time-weighted average of all current surveys. A poll value is flagged if it deviates by more than one percentage point from this trend.

Performance Track Record: Historical Accuracy of GPO

2.1

Election Accuracy

On average, GPO's figures deviate by 2.1 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from Actual Results (Historical)

How is election accuracy calculated?

Accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls aligned with actual election results. We compare final surveys from various institutes with official outcomes. To do this, we calculate the average deviation across all parties that received at least 3% of the vote. Most election polls have a standard margin of error of 2-3 percentage points. We categorize average deviations as follows: up to 1 percentage point is "very good" (green); up to 2 points is "good" (yellow); up to 3 points is "acceptable" (orange), though this may indicate significant outliers for specific parties. Deviations exceeding 3 percentage points suggest a lack of predictive power and are rated "poor" (red).

Data Sources and Methodology

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