Hamburg: Poll by Forsa from 02.01.2020

Hamburg: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
29.0
-1.0
Grüne
26.0
+2.0
CDU
16.0
+2.0
Linke
10.0
-1.0
FDP
7.0
-2.0
AfD
7.0
±0.0
Others
5.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 02.03.2025
SPD
-4.5
Grüne
+7.5
CDU
New
Linke
-1.2
FDP
+4.7
AfD
-0.5
Forsa – 1009 respondents – 18.12.2019-02.01.2020

Next election: 2030

The next parliamentary election in Hamburg is expected to take place in 2030.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 35% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Hamburg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hamburg from Forsa shows the following results: SPD 29%, Grüne 26%, CDU 16%, Die Linke 10%, FDP 7% and AfD 7%. If an election were held in Hamburg this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.5 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Peter Tschentscher is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 57.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 1009 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 15 days (18.12.2019 - 02.01.2020).

Coalition possibilities

121
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
13
10.7%
SPD
37
30.6%
Grüne
33
27.3%
FDP
9
7.4%
CDU
20
16.5%
AfD
9
7.4%
SPD + Grüne
57.9%
SPD + CDU + FDP
54.5%
Grüne + CDU + FDP
51.2%
SPD + CDU
47.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 18.12.2019 and 02.01.2020 among 1009 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 29%, Grüne 26%, CDU 16%, Die Linke 10%, FDP 7% and AfD 7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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