Hamburg: Poll by Civey from 19.02.2020

Hamburg: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
35.4
+5.2
Grüne
24.5
-0.4
CDU
13.8
-1.9
Linke
8.6
±0.0
AfD
7.9
+1.0
FDP
5.2
-2.0
Others
4.6
-1.9
Development since the last election on 02.03.2025
SPD
+1.9
Grüne
+6.0
CDU
-6.0
Linke
-2.6
AfD
+0.4
FDP
+2.9
Civey – 3468 respondents – 05.02.2020-19.02.2020

Next election: 2030

The next parliamentary election in Hamburg is expected to take place in 2030.

Election poll results

Hamburg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Hamburg from Civey shows the following results: SPD 35.4%, Grüne 24.5%, CDU 13.8%, Die Linke 8.6%, AfD 7.9% and FDP 5.2%. If an election were held in Hamburg this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.0 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Peter Tschentscher is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 62.8% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Civey. For this purpose, 3468 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 14 days (05.02.2020 - 19.02.2020).

Coalition possibilities

121
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
11
9.1%
SPD
45
37.2%
Grüne
31
25.6%
FDP
7
5.8%
CDU
17
14%
AfD
10
8.3%
SPD + Grüne
62.8%
SPD + CDU
51.2%
Grüne + CDU + FDP
45.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Civey. The survey took place between 05.02.2020 and 19.02.2020 among 3468 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 35.4%, Grüne 24.5%, CDU 13.8%, Die Linke 8.6%, AfD 7.9% and FDP 5.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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