Hamburg
Election trend
Parties

Hamburg: Poll by Civey from 19.02.2020

Polling data

SPD
35.4
+5.2
Grüne
24.5
-0.4
CDU
13.8
-1.9
Linke
8.6
±0.0
AfD
7.9
+1.0
FDP
5.2
-2.0
Sonst.
4.6
-1.9
Development since the last election on 23.02.2020
SPD
-3.8
Grüne
+0.3
CDU
+2.6
Linke
-0.5
AfD
+2.6
FDP
+0.3
Civey – 3468 respondents – 05.02.2020-19.02.2020
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Hamburg is expected to take place in 2025.

Election poll results

Hamburg - The latest poll for the State election in Hamburg from Civey shows the following results: SPD 35.4%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 24.5%, CDU 13.8%, Die Linke 8.6%, AfD 7.9% and FDP 5.2%. If an election were held in Hamburg this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.6 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Peter Tschentscher is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and SPD. With 62.8% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Civey. For this purpose, 3468 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 14 days (05.02.2020 - 19.02.2020).

Coalition possibilities

121
Linke
11
SPD
45
Grüne
31
FDP
7
CDU
17
AfD
10
Majority requires 61 seats
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
76
SPD + CDU
62
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + CDU + FDP
55

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Hamburg was conducted by Civey. The survey took place between 05.02.2020 and 19.02.2020 among 3468 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 35.4%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 24.5%, CDU 13.8%, Die Linke 8.6%, AfD 7.9% and FDP 5.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.